VCs will make billions on Anthropic’s IPO, but Amazon is set to make much (much) more
Amazon's stake size changes the valuation story for everyone downstream. If Amazon's returns dwarf venture capital's, that signals either massive future dilution for later investors or a valuation so high that even Amazon's position looks moderate. For founders evaluating AI funding: Amazon's structural advantage in Anthropic is the model to watch, not the exception. For investors: understand the note terms before you price the round.